Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 9.663388 10.747632 11.914537 13.265583 14.789016 16.456220 18.422417
2025-07-06 7.853872 9.307571 10.985653 13.073366 15.611304 18.609311 22.437935
2025-07-13 6.842344 8.561947 10.670605 13.464238 17.094425 21.687598 27.995702
2025-07-20 6.081991 7.977705 10.428030 13.859547 18.592187 24.964093 34.318821
2025-07-27 5.415156 7.399671 10.085455 14.035475 19.780323 27.960863 40.726036
2025-08-03 4.780467 6.768129 9.568017 13.866940 20.420855 30.234206 46.418118
2025-08-10 4.251140 6.211214 9.072562 13.639223 20.905272 32.296747 52.069806
2025-08-17 3.812332 5.730305 8.622027 13.402823 21.313979 34.256167 57.822501
2025-08-24 3.463518 5.343646 8.264063 13.253269 21.818353 36.404804 64.204969
2025-08-31 3.185887 5.036424 7.992188 13.200226 22.458102 38.841450 71.470528
2025-09-07 3.014193 4.880178 7.943585 13.509038 23.752109 42.591478 81.822367
2025-09-14 2.793564 4.619359 7.690573 13.424436 24.311388 45.044143 90.006054
2025-09-21 2.552917 4.307236 7.327692 13.116681 24.444688 46.761110 97.124930
2025-09-28 2.359952 4.060495 7.055690 12.946092 24.820896 49.016080 105.844282
2025-10-05 2.267223 3.983495 7.080917 13.343775 26.383312 53.945932 121.589459
2025-10-12 2.181586 3.910842 7.105716 13.741482 27.998211 59.238841 139.311745
2025-10-19 2.075833 3.790465 7.027333 13.919310 29.165096 63.717908 155.984382
2025-10-26 1.940475 3.601439 6.797408 13.754276 29.550653 66.453254 168.724435
2025-11-02 1.811460 3.413761 6.552730 13.529676 29.769334 68.821931 180.989896
2025-11-09 1.693313 3.237868 6.316005 13.295962 29.934944 71.084455 193.463741
2025-11-16 1.593822 3.091518 6.127087 13.148049 30.286284 73.872921 208.120763
2025-11-23 1.511350 2.973410 5.986877 13.095649 30.865370 77.349667 225.700672
2025-11-30 1.466171 2.929182 6.000049 13.401840 32.391881 83.634867 253.750938